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Inference on Functionals of Set-Identified Parameters Defined by Convex Moments

Thomas M. Russell

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Abstract: Many inference procedures in the literature on partial identification are designed for when the inferential object of interest is the entire (partially identified) vector of parameters. However, when the researcher's inferential object of interest is a subvector or functional of the parameter vector, these inference procedures can be highly conservative, especially when the dimension of the parameter vector is large. This paper considers uniformly valid inference for continuous functionals of partially identified parameters in cases where the identified set is defined by convex (in the parameter) moment inequalities. We use a functional delta method and propose a method for constructing uniformly valid confidence sets for a (possibly stochastic) convex functional of a partially identified parameter. The proposed method amounts to bootstrapping the Lagrangian of a convex optimization problem, and subsumes subvector inference as a special case. Unlike other proposed subvector inference procedures, our procedure does not require the researcher to repeatedly invert a hypothesis test. Finally, we discuss sufficient conditions on the moment functions to ensure uniform validity.

New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm
Date: 2018-10, Revised 2019-01
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