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Averaging plus Learning in financial markets

Ionel Popescu and Tushar Vaidya

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Abstract: This paper develops original models to study interacting agents in financial markets. The key feature of these models is how interactions are formulated and analysed. Agents learn from their observations and learning ability to interpret news or private information. Central limit theorems are developed but they arise rather unexpectedly. Under certain type of conditions governing the learning, agents beliefs converge in distribution that can be even fractal. The underlying randomness in the systems is not restricted to be of a certain class. Fresh insights are gained not only from developing new non-linear social learning models but also from using different techniques to study discrete time random linear dynamical systems.

Date: 2019-04, Revised 2019-06
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