Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Non-Stationary Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models

Matteo Barigozzi and Matteo Luciani

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: This paper considers estimation of large dynamic factor models with common and idiosyncratic trends by means of the Expectation Maximization algorithm, implemented jointly with the Kalman smoother. We show that, as the cross-sectional dimension $n$ and the sample size $T$ diverge to infinity, the common component for a given unit estimated at a given point in time is $\min(\sqrt n,\sqrt T)$-consistent. The case of local levels and/or local linear trends trends is also considered. By means of a MonteCarlo simulation exercise, we compare our approach with estimators based on principal component analysis.

Date: 2019-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm and nep-ets
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:arx:papers:1910.09841

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