Does Foreign Debt Contribute to Economic Growth?

Tomoo Kikuchi and Satoshi Tobe

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: We study the relationship between foreign debt and GDP growth using a panel dataset of 50 countries from 1997 to 2015. We find that economic growth correlates positively with foreign debt and that the relationship is causal in nature by using the sovereign credit default swap spread as an instrumental variable. Furthermore, we find that foreign debt increases investment and then GDP growth in subsequent years. Our findings suggest that lower sovereign default risks lead to higher foreign debt contributing to GDP growth more in OECD than non-OECD countries.

Date: 2021-09, Revised 2022-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fdg, nep-gro and nep-isf
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