High-Dimensional Sparse Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models

Benjamin Poignard and Manabu Asai

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: Although multivariate stochastic volatility models usually produce more accurate forecasts compared to the MGARCH models, their estimation techniques such as Bayesian MCMC typically suffer from the curse of dimensionality. We propose a fast and efficient estimation approach for MSV based on a penalized OLS framework. Specifying the MSV model as a multivariate state space model, we carry out a two-step penalized procedure. We provide the asymptotic properties of the two-step estimator and the oracle property of the first-step estimator when the number of parameters diverges. The performances of our method are illustrated through simulations and financial data.

Date: 2022-01, Revised 2022-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cwa, nep-ecm, nep-ets and nep-ore
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Journal Article: High‐dimensional sparse multivariate stochastic volatility models (2023)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:arx:papers:2201.08584

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