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Labor market conditions and college graduation

Lucas Finamor

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: College students graduating in a recession have been shown to face large and persistent negative effects on their earnings, health, and other outcomes. This paper investigates whether students delay graduation to avoid these effects. Using data on the universe of students in higher education in Brazil and leveraging variation in labor market conditions across time, space, and chosen majors, the paper finds that students in public institutions delay graduation to avoid entering depressed labor markets. The delaying effect is larger for students with higher scores, in higher-earnings majors, and from more advantaged backgrounds. This has important implications for the distributional impact of recessions.

Date: 2022-01, Revised 2022-08
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-hea and nep-ure
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