Neural Network and Order Flow, Technical Analysis: Predicting short-term direction of futures contract

Yiyang Zheng

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: Predictions of short-term directional movement of the futures contract can be challenging as its pricing is often based on multiple complex dynamic conditions. This work presents a method for predicting the short-term directional movement of an underlying futures contract. We engineered a set of features from technical analysis, order flow, and order-book data. Then, Tabnet, a deep learning neural network, is trained using these features. We train our model on the Silver Futures Contract listed on Shanghai Futures Exchange and achieve an accuracy of 0.601 on predicting the directional change during the selected period.

Date: 2022-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-big, nep-cmp and nep-cta
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