Schooling and Labor Market Consequences of School Construction in Indonesia: Comment

David Roodman

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: Duflo (2001) exploits a 1970s schooling expansion in Indonesia to estimate impacts on schooling and labor outcomes, as well as the returns to schooling. I correct data errors, adjust for potential sources of bias, follow up later in life, and check sensitivity to two specification choices that are not explained in the original text and that are applied to some regressions and not others. Headline estimates from the original, 1995 follow-up are generally not robust to the revisions. Returns to schooling are weakly identified. But certain "fingerprints" from Duflo (2001) specification checks--impacts appearing only in the birth cohorts or at the grade levels where expected--recognizably persist. E.g., impact estimates from kink-based specifications that focus on timing by birth cohort are consistently positive, if not always at conventional significance lev-els. The best explanation, though weakened, is causation from the schooling expansion to individual schooling attainment to wages.

Date: 2022-07, Revised 2025-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-sea and nep-ure
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Working Paper: Schooling and Labor Market Consequences of School Construction in Indonesia: Comment (2023)
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