Detecting common bubbles in multivariate mixed causal-noncausal models

Gianluca Cubadda, Alain Hecq and Elisa Voisin

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: This paper proposes methods to investigate whether the bubble patterns observed in individual series are common to various series. We detect the non-linear dynamics using the recent mixed causal and noncausal models. Both a likelihood ratio test and information criteria are investigated, the former having better performances in our Monte Carlo simulations. Implementing our approach on three commodity prices we do not find evidence of commonalities although some series look very similar.

Date: 2022-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm and nep-ets
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http://arxiv.org/pdf/2207.11557 Latest version (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Detecting Common Bubbles in Multivariate Mixed Causal–Noncausal Models (2023)
Working Paper: Detecting Common Bubbles in Multivariate Mixed Causal-noncausal Models (2023)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:arx:papers:2207.11557

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