Calibrated Forecasts: The Minimax Proof
Sergiu Hart
Papers from arXiv.org
Abstract:
A formal write-up of the simple proof (1995) of the existence of calibrated forecasts by the minimax theorem, which moreover shows that $N^3$ periods suffice to guarantee a calibration error of at most $1/N$.
Date: 2022-09, Revised 2023-02
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