Precision measurement of the return distribution property of the Chinese stock market index

Peng Liu and Yanyan Zheng

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: This paper systematically conducts an analysis of the composite index 1-min datasets over the 17-year period (2005-2021) for both the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges. To reveal the difference between the Chinese and the mature stock markets, here we precisely measure the property of return distribution of composite index over the time scale $\Delta t$ ranging from 1 min up to almost 4,000 min. The main findings are as follows. (1) Return distribution presents a leptokurtic, fat-tailed, and almost symmetrical shape, which is similar to that of mature markets. (2) The central part of return distribution is well described by the symmetrical L\'{e}vy $\alpha$-stable process with a stability parameter comparable with the value of about 1.4 extracted in the U.S. stock market. (3) Return distribution can be well described by the student's t-distribution within a wider return range than the L\'{e}vy $\alpha$-stable distribution. (4) Distinctively, the stability parameter shows a potential change when $\Delta t$ increases, and thus a crossover region at 15 $

Date: 2022-09, Revised 2023-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fmk and nep-rmg
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Published in Entropy 2023, 25(1), 36

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