Confidence Interval Construction for Multivariate time series using Long Short Term Memory Network
Aryan Bhambu and
Arabin Kumar Dey
Papers from arXiv.org
In this paper we propose a novel procedure to construct a confidence interval for multivariate time series predictions using long short term memory network. The construction uses a few novel block bootstrap techniques. We also propose an innovative block length selection procedure for each of these schemes. Two novel benchmarks help us to compare the construction of this confidence intervals by different bootstrap techniques. We illustrate the whole construction through S\&P $500$ and Dow Jones Index datasets.
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