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Impact of the Ukrainian crisis on the global food security

Jean Cyrus de Gourcuff, David Makowski, Philippe Ciais and Marc Barthelemy

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: Using global wheat trade data and a network model for shock propagation, we study the impact of the Ukrainian crisis on food security. Depending on the level of reduction in Ukrainian wheat exports, the number of additional individuals falling under the minimum dietary energy requirement varies from 1 to 9 millions, and reaches about 4.8 millions for a $50\%$ reduction in exports. In the most affected countries, supply reductions are mainly related to indirect trade restrictions.

Date: 2023-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-cis and nep-int
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