Co-trading networks for modeling dynamic interdependency structures and estimating high-dimensional covariances in US equity markets
Yutong Lu,
Gesine Reinert and
Mihai Cucuringu
Papers from arXiv.org
Abstract:
The time proximity of trades across stocks reveals interesting topological structures of the equity market in the United States. In this article, we investigate how such concurrent cross-stock trading behaviors, which we denote as co-trading, shape the market structures and affect stock price co-movements. By leveraging a co-trading-based pairwise similarity measure, we propose a novel method to construct dynamic networks of stocks. Our empirical studies employ high-frequency limit order book data from 2017-01-03 to 2019-12-09. By applying spectral clustering on co-trading networks, we uncover economically meaningful clusters of stocks. Beyond the static Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) sectors, our data-driven clusters capture the time evolution of the dependency among stocks. Furthermore, we demonstrate statistically significant positive relations between low-latency co-trading and return covariance. With the aid of co-trading networks, we develop a robust estimator for high-dimensional covariance matrix, which yields superior economic value on portfolio allocation. The mean-variance portfolios based on our covariance estimates achieve both lower volatility and higher Sharpe ratios than standard benchmarks.
Date: 2023-02, Revised 2024-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mst
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:arx:papers:2302.09382
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