Consumption Partial Insurance in the Presence of Tail Income Risk
Anisha Ghosh and
Alexandros Theloudis
Papers from arXiv.org
Abstract:
We measure consumption insurance against income shocks accounting for high-order moments of the income distribution. We derive a nonlinear consumption function, where the extent of insurance varies with the shocks' sign and magnitude. Using PSID data, we estimate an asymmetric pass-through of bad versus good permanent shocks - 17% of a 3 sigma negative shock transmits to consumption versus 9% of an equal-sized positive shock - with greater pass-through as shocks worsen. Households would sacrifice over 1/8 of lifetime consumption to eliminate tail income risk. Our results align with survey responses to hypothetical events and suggest that tail risk matters substantially for consumption.
Date: 2023-06, Revised 2025-03
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Working Paper: Consumption Partial Insurance in the Presence of Tail Income Risk (2023) 
Working Paper: Consumption Partial Insurance in the Presence of Tail Income Risk (2023) 
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:arx:papers:2306.13208
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