LOB-Based Deep Learning Models for Stock Price Trend Prediction: A Benchmark Study

Matteo Prata, Giuseppe Masi, Leonardo Berti, Viviana Arrigoni, Andrea Coletta, Irene Cannistraci, Svitlana Vyetrenko, Paola Velardi and Novella Bartolini

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Abstract: The recent advancements in Deep Learning (DL) research have notably influenced the finance sector. We examine the robustness and generalizability of fifteen state-of-the-art DL models focusing on Stock Price Trend Prediction (SPTP) based on Limit Order Book (LOB) data. To carry out this study, we developed LOBCAST, an open-source framework that incorporates data preprocessing, DL model training, evaluation and profit analysis. Our extensive experiments reveal that all models exhibit a significant performance drop when exposed to new data, thereby raising questions about their real-world market applicability. Our work serves as a benchmark, illuminating the potential and the limitations of current approaches and providing insight for innovative solutions.

Date: 2023-07, Revised 2023-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ain, nep-big, nep-cmp, nep-fmk and nep-mst
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