DeRisk: An Effective Deep Learning Framework for Credit Risk Prediction over Real-World Financial Data

Yancheng Liang, Jiajie Zhang, Hui Li, Xiaochen Liu, Yi Hu, Yong Wu, Jinyao Zhang, Yongyan Liu and Yi Wu

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: Despite the tremendous advances achieved over the past years by deep learning techniques, the latest risk prediction models for industrial applications still rely on highly handtuned stage-wised statistical learning tools, such as gradient boosting and random forest methods. Different from images or languages, real-world financial data are high-dimensional, sparse, noisy and extremely imbalanced, which makes deep neural network models particularly challenging to train and fragile in practice. In this work, we propose DeRisk, an effective deep learning risk prediction framework for credit risk prediction on real-world financial data. DeRisk is the first deep risk prediction model that outperforms statistical learning approaches deployed in our company's production system. We also perform extensive ablation studies on our method to present the most critical factors for the empirical success of DeRisk.

Date: 2023-08
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-big, nep-cfn, nep-cmp and nep-rmg
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