Challenges in Statistically Rejecting the Perfect Competition Hypothesis Using Imperfect Competition Data

Yuri Matsumura and Suguru Otani

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: We theoretically prove why statistically rejecting the null hypothesis of perfect competition is challenging, known as a common problem in the literature. We also assess the finite sample performance of the conduct parameter test in homogeneous goods markets, showing that statistical power increases with the number of markets, a larger conduct parameter, and a stronger demand rotation instrument. However, even with a moderate number of markets and five firms, rejecting the null hypothesis of perfect competition remains difficult, irrespective of instrument strength or the use of optimal instruments. Our findings suggest that empirical results failing to reject perfect competition are due to the limited number of markets rather than methodological shortcomings.

Date: 2023-10, Revised 2024-08
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