Quantifying the relative importance of the spatial and temporal resolution in energy systems optimisation model

Nandi Moksnes and William Usher

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: An increasing number of studies using energy system optimisation models are conducted with higher spatial and temporal resolution. This comes with a computational cost which places a limit on the size, complexity, and detail of the model. In this paper, we explore the relative importance of structural aspects of energy system models, spatial and temporal resolution, compared to uncertainties in input parameters such as final energy demand, discount rate and capital costs. We use global sensitivity analysis to uncover these interactions for two developing countries, Kenya, and Benin, which still lack universal access to electricity. We find that temporal resolution has a high influence on all assessed results parameters, and spatial resolution has a significant influence on the expansion of distribution lines to the unelectrified population. The larger overall influence of temporal resolution indicates that this should be prioritised compared to spatial resolution.

Date: 2023-10
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