Enhancing Startup Success Predictions in Venture Capital: A GraphRAG Augmented Multivariate Time Series Method

Zitian Gao and Yihao Xiao

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: In the Venture Capital (VC) industry, predicting the success of startups is challenging due to limited financial data and the need for subjective revenue forecasts. Previous methods based on time series analysis often fall short as they fail to incorporate crucial inter-company relationships such as competition and collaboration. To fill the gap, this paper aims to introduce a novel approach using GraphRAG augmented time series model. With GraphRAG, time series predictive methods are enhanced by integrating these vital relationships into the analysis framework, allowing for a more dynamic understanding of the startup ecosystem in venture capital. Our experimental results demonstrate that our model significantly outperforms previous models in startup success predictions.

Date: 2024-08, Revised 2025-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-big, nep-ecm and nep-ent
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