Actually, There is No Rotational Indeterminacy in the Approximate Factor Model

Philipp Gersing

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: We show that in the approximate factor model the population normalised principal components converge in mean square (up to sign) under the standard assumptions for $n\to \infty$. Consequently, we have a generic interpretation of what the principal components estimator is actually identifying and existing results on factor identification are reinforced and refined. Based on this result, we provide a new asymptotic theory for the approximate factor model entirely without rotation matrices. We show that the factors space is consistently estimated with finite $T$ for $n\to \infty$ while consistency of the factors a.k.a the $L^2$ limit of the normalised principal components requires that both $(n, T)\to \infty$.

Date: 2024-08, Revised 2024-10
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