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The Endurance of Identity-Based Voting: Evidence from the United States and Comparative Democracies

Venkat Ram Reddy Ganuthula and Krishna Kumar Balaraman

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Abstract: This study demonstrates the persistent dominance of identity based voting across democratic systems, using the United States as a primary case and comparative analyses of 19 other democracies as counterfactuals. Drawing solely on election data from the Roper Center (1976 through recent cycles), we employ OLS regression, ANOVA, and correlation tests to show that race remains the strongest predictor of party affiliation in the US (p

Date: 2025-02, Revised 2025-02
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