Semi-Analytical Pricing for General Default Intensity Models

Ryan Parker, Mark Stedman and Luca Capriotti

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: Using the path-integral formalism, we develop an accurate and easy-to-compute semi-analytical approximation for a general class of {default intensity} models. We illustrate the accuracy of the method by presenting results for the Black-Karasinski model for which the proposed approximation provides remarkably accurate results, even in regimes of high volatility and multi-year time horizons. The accuracy and the computational efficiency of the proposed approximation makes it a viable alternative to fully numerical schemes for a variety of applications in econometrics and derivatives pricing, including the computation of XVA for credit products. As a practical example, we consider the pricing of a quanto Credit Default Swap (CDS) under stochastic intensity of default and an FX devaluation model.

Date: 2026-06
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Published in Risk Magazine 1 Jul 2025

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