Generic Covariate Adjustment for Regression Discontinuity Designs

Jun Ma, Yuya Sasaki and Zhengfei Yu

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: It is standard practice to include covariates in regression discontinuity designs (RDDs) and regression kink designs (RKDs), but the theoretical justification for doing so does not generally extend beyond linear estimands. This paper proposes a novel entropy balancing reweighting approach for covariate adjustment within a general framework of RDDs and RKDs. While conventional regression-based covariate adjustment methods generally fail to deliver consistent estimation for nonlinear estimands such as quantile treatment effects, our reweighting approach achieves consistency while improving efficiency. Moreover, even in settings where the regression-based covariate adjustment method already improves efficiency, our approach can deliver additional efficiency gains. Simulation studies corroborate these theoretical findings. We present an empirical application in which our covariate adjustment yields statistically significant results that would not be obtained without covariate adjustment.

Date: 2026-09
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