Endogenous Information Design and Informational Evolution in Dynamic Economic Systems with Incentives and Learning

Guoqiang Tian

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: This paper studies the endogenous informational evolution of dynamic economic systems. Building on Hurwicz's conceptual framework, such a system is defined as a dynamic joint adjustment process of resource and information allocation linked by recursive feedback. Economic theory gains precision by isolating particular margins, but when information production, disclosure, learning, incentives, actions, and future feasibility interact across these two processes, conclusions obtained by holding other margins fixed need not survive their joint determination. The paper develops a system-level dynamic equilibrium framework for this interaction. Holding particular links fixed yields familiar environments in dynamic mechanism design, information design, experimentation and learning, feedback and disclosure, and information acquisition. The analysis establishes three central failures relative to fixed or partially exogenous informational environments: informational efficiency under exogenous feasibility is generally incompatible with endogenous dynamic feasibility; incentive and disclosure design cannot generally be separated; and informational monotonicity can fail without implementation replicability. It also identifies the corresponding positive boundaries. Optimal disclosure may be interior or extreme; bang--bang disclosure arises under additional conditions, and a further specialization generates an endogenous transition from opacity to transparency. Information may therefore be optimally withheld even when its direct decision value is strictly positive. Extensions to private payoff-relevant information and limited commitment preserve the recursive structure.

Date: 2026-09, Revised 2026-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-des and nep-mic
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