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Stock mechanics: predicting recession in S&P500, DJIA, and NASDAQ

Caglar Tuncay

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: An original method, assuming potential and kinetic energy for prices and conservation of their sum is developed for forecasting exchanges. Connections with power law are shown. Semiempirical applications on S&P500, DJIA, and NASDAQ predict a coming recession in them. An emerging market, Istanbul Stock Exchange index ISE-100 is found involving a potential to continue to rise.

Date: 2005-06
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