Martingale Option Pricing

J. L. McCauley, G. H. Gunaratne and K. E. Bassler

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: We show that our generalization of the Black-Scholes partial differential equation (pde) for nontrivial diffusion coefficients is equivalent to a Martingale in the risk neutral discounted stock price. Previously, this was proven for the case of the Gaussian logarithmic returns model by Harrison and Kreps, but we prove it for much a much larger class of returns models where the diffusion coefficient depends on both returns x and time t. That option prices blow up if fat tails in logarithmic returns x are included in the market dynamics is also explained.

Date: 2006-06, Revised 2007-02
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