Working papers

From Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN MADISON, SOCIAL SYSTEMS RESEARCH INSTITUTE(S.S.R.I.), MADISON WISCONSIN 53706 U.S.A..
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9111: Understainding Macroeconomic Time Series Using Complex Systems Theory

William Brock

9110: Adolescent Econometricians: How Do Youth Infer the Returns to Schooling

Charles Manski

9109: Hysteresis in International Trade: A general Equilibrium Analysis

L. Ljungvist

9108: Incomplete Financial Markets in Infinite Horizon Economies

Hernandez D.A. and Manuel Santos

9107: Speculation, Exchange Rate Volatility and Welfare

Lars Ljungqvist

9106: Estimation of dynamic Structural Models: Problems and Prospects Part I: Discrete Decision Processes

John Rust

9105: Forecast Improvements Using A Volatility Index

Blake Lebaron

9104: Ordinal Dynamic Programming

Peter Streufert

9103: Abstract Recursive Utility

Peter Streufert

9102: Rational Cooperative in the Finitely Repeated Prisoner's Dilemma: Experimental Evidence

James Andreoni and J.H. Miller

9101: Some Theory of Statistical Inference for Nonlinear Science: Expanded Version

William Brock

9034: The Identification problem Under Contaminated Sampling

Charles Manski

9010: A COEVOLUTIONARY MODEL OF FREE RIDING BEHAVIOR: REPLICATOR DTNAMICS AS AN EXPLANATON OF THE EXPERIMENTAL RESULTS

J.H. Miller and James Andreoni

9009: IRAS AND HOUSEHOLD SAVINGS

William Gale and John Scholz

9008: A MULTIPLE-OBJECT AUCTION WITH SUPERADDITIVE VALUES

Ian Gale

9007: THE DYNAMIC OF COMPETITIVE EQUILIBRIUM ALLOCATIONS WITH BORROWING CONSTRAINTS

A.D. Hernandez

9006: AN EXPERIMENTAL TEST OF THE PUBLIC GOODS CROWDING-OUT HYPOTHESIS

James Andreoni

9005: ADVANCE-PURCHASE DISCOUNTS AND MONOPOLY ALLOCATION OF CAPACITY

I.L. Gale and Thomas Holmes

9004: SEVERITY OF SELECTION PROBLEM IN THE ABSENCE OF PRIOR INFORMATION

Charles Manski

9003: DYNAMIC CHOICE IN A SOCIAL SETTING

Charles Manski

9002: SOME RELATIONS BETWEEN VOLATILITY AND SERIAL CORRELATIONS IN STOCK MARKET RETURNS

Blake Lebaron

9001: SEMIPARAMETRIC ESTIMATION OF SELECTION MODELS: SOME EMPIRICAL RESULTS

Whitney Newey, James Powell and James Walker

90-33: SEMIPARAMETRIC ESTIMATION OF CENSORED SELECTION MODELS WITH A NONPARAMETRIC SELECTION MECHANISM

H. Ahn and James Powell

90-32: AUCTIONS WITH ADAPTIVE ARTIFICIALLY INTELLIGENT AGENTS

James Andreoni and J.H. Miller

90-31: ALTERNATIVE ESTIMATES OF THE EFFECT OF FAMILY STUCTURE DURING ADOLESCENCE ON HIGHT SCHOOL GRADUATION

Charles Manski, G.D. Sandefur, S. McLanahan and Daniel Powers

90-30: RATIONALITY ALONE DOES NOT ALLOW PLAYERS TO SOLVE ALL GAMES

Tilman Börgers and Larry Samuelson

90-29: EVOLUTIONARY STABILITY IN REPEATED GAMES PLAYED BY FINITE AUTOMATA

K. Binmore and Larry Samuelson

90-28: ACCIDENT RATES, LABOR EFFORT AND THE BUSINESS CYCLE

John Shea

90-27: SUBGAME PERFECTION: AN INTRODUCTION

Larry Samuelson

90-26: INCENTIVES, INSURANCE AND THE VARIABILITY OF CON SOMPTION AND LEISURE

Christopher Phelan

90-25: CONTINUOUS REACTION FUNCTIONS IN DUOPOLIES

James Friedman and Larry Samuelson

90-24: EVOLUTIONARY STABILITY IN SYMMETRIC GAMES

Larry Samuelson and J. Zhang

90-23: AN ECONOMIC ANALISYS OF CHARITABLE GIVING WITH INTERDEPENDENT PREFERENCES

James Andreoni and J.K. Schols

90-22: SIMPLE TECHNICAL TRADING RULES AND THE STOCHASTIC PROPERTIES OF STOCK RETURNS

William Brock, J. Lakonishok and Blake Lebaron

90-21: PRICE COMPETITION IN A COMPETITIVELY RULED COTENANCY

Ian Gale

90-20: ECONOMIC UNDERDEVELOPMENT: THE CASE OF A MISSING MARKET FOR HUMAN CAPITAL

Lars Ljungqvist

90-19: A POSSIBLE UNIFICATION OF SOME RESULTS ON LEARNING DYNAMICS IN GAMES

William Brock

90-18: A RATIONALE FOR FIRMS' EXCHANGE RATE HEDGING

Lars Ljungqvist

90-17: NONLINEAR DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS INSTABILITY AND CHAOS IN ECONOMICS

William Brock and W.D. Dechert

90-16: LEARNING AND THE VALUE OF THE FIRM

N. Kiyotaki

90-15: SEARCH FOR A THEORY OF MONEY

N. Kiyotaki and Randall Wright

90-14: DOMINATED STRATEGIES AND COMMON KNOWLEDGE

Larry Samuelson

90-13: EXTENSIVE FORM REASONING IN NORMAL FORM GAMES

George Mailath, Larry Samuelson and Jeroen Swinkels

90-12: THE SELECTION PROBLEM

Charles Manski

90-11: THE EFFICIENCY OF ADVANCE-PURSHASE DISCOUNTS IN THE PRESENCE OF INFLEXIBLE PRICES

I.L. Gale and Thomas Holmes

8918: ALTERNATIVE ESTIMATORS FOR FACTOR GARCH MODELS - A MONTE CARLO COMPARISON

W-L. Lin

8917: REGRESSION

Charles Manski

8916: TRADITIONAL CAPITAL IN THE PROCESS OF MODERNIZATION

D. Berkowitz

8912: BICONVERGENT RECURSIVE UTILITY AND DYNAMIC PROGRAMMING: TOW SPECIAL CASES USING ARBITRARY ACTION SPACES

Peter Streufert

8911: BICONVERGENT RECURSIVE UTILITY AND DYNAMIC PROGRAMMING: GENERAL THEORY FOR ARBITRARY ACTION SPACES

Peter Streufert