Identifying the Shocks behind Business Cycle Asynchrony in Euroland
Carsten Trenkler and
Enzo Weber
No 466, University of Regensburg Working Papers in Business, Economics and Management Information Systems from University of Regensburg, Department of Economics
Abstract:
This paper investigates which shocks drive asynchrony of business cycles in the euro area. Thereby, it unites two strands of literature, those on common features and on structural VAR analysis. In particular, we show that the presence of a common cycle implies collinearity of structural impulse responses. Several Wald tests are applied to the latter hypothesis. Results reveal that differences in the GDP dynamics in several peripheral countries compared to a euro zone core are triggered by idiosyncratic, and to a lesser extent also world, shocks. Additionally, real shocks prove relevant rather than nominal ones.
Keywords: Common cycles; euro area; impulse responses; structural VAR; Wald test (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 E32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012-06-13
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https://epub.uni-regensburg.de/24774/1/Euroland.pdf (application/pdf)
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Working Paper: Identifying the Shocks behind Business Cycle Asynchrony in Euroland (2012) 
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bay:rdwiwi:24774
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