Global | Evaluando el Riesgo Geopolítico Estructural

Global | Assessing Structural Geopolitical Risk

Miguel Jiménez, David Sarasa Flores and Alfonso Ugarte

No 26/08, Working Papers from BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department

Abstract: This paper introduces a novel measure of Structural Geopolitical Risk (SGR), designed to capture the long-run conditions that shape the likelihood of geopolitical tensions, conflicts, and fragmentation. This paper introduces a novel measure of Structural Geopolitical Risk (SGR), designed to capture the long-run conditions that shape the likelihood of geopolitical tensions, conflicts, and fragmentation.

Keywords: Defense expenditure; Defense expenditure; Local projections; Local projections; Geopolitical risk; Geopolitical risk; Global; Global; Macroeconomic Analysis; Macroeconomic Analysis; Geostrategy; Geostrategy; Country Risk; Country Risk; Working Paper; Working Paper (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C33 C43 D74 F51 F52 P16 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 70 pages
Date: 2026-06
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.bbvaresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Wp_26_08.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bbv:wpaper:2608

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Working Papers from BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by OSCAR DE LAS PENAS SANCHEZ-CARO ().