The Simple Economics of Global Fuel Consumption

Doga Bilgin and Reinhard Ellwanger

Staff Working Papers from Bank of Canada

Abstract: This paper presents a structural framework of the global oil market that relies on information on global fuel consumption to identify flow demand for oil. We show that under mild identifying assumptions, data on global fuel consumption help to provide comparatively sharp insights on elasticities and other key structural parameters of the global oil market. The estimated elasticity of global fuel demand in the short run with respect to crude oil prices is around -2 percent, which is considerably more inelastic than estimates of local fuel demand elasticities based on disaggregated data. Our framework is particularly suitable for understanding the evolution of quantities in the global oil market and provides new evidence on the magnitude of different types of oil price shocks and their macroeconomic and environmental impacts.

Keywords: Economic; models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C51 L71 Q41 Q43 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 44 pages
Date: 2019-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene and nep-ore
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bca:bocawp:19-35

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