Staff Working Papers

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24-28: Housing Affordability and Parental Income Support

Jason Allen, Kyra Carmichael, Robert Clark, Shaoteng Li and Nicolas Vincent

24-27: Central Bank Digital Currency and Transmission of Monetary Policy

Saroj Bhattarai, S. Mohammad R. Davoodalhosseini and Zhenning Zhao

24-26: Credit Card Minimum Payment Restrictions

Jason Allen, Michael Boutros and Benedict Guttman-Kenney

24-25: Untapped Potential: Mobile Device Ownership and Mobile Payments in Canada

Marie-Helene Felt, Angelika Welte and Katrina Talavera

24-24: Non-Parametric Identification and Testing of Quantal Response Equilibrium

Johannes Hoelzemann, Ryan Webb and Erhao Xie

24-23: Demand for Canadian Banknotes from International Travel: Indirect Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic

Hongyu Xiao

24-22: The Role of Beliefs in Entering and Exiting the Bitcoin Market

Daniela Balutel, Christopher Henry, Jorge Vásquez and Marcel Voia

24-21: Saving after Retirement and Preferences for Residual Wealth

Giulio Fella, Martin Holm and Thomas Michael Pugh

24-20: Markups and Inflation in Oligopolistic Markets: Evidence from Wholesale Price Data

Patrick Alexander, Lu Han, Oleksiy Kryvtsov and Ben Tomlin

24-19: Decomposing Systemic Risk: The Roles of Contagion and Common Exposures

Grzegorz Halaj and Ruben Hipp

24-18: Fire Sales and Liquidity Requirements

Yuteng Cheng and Roberto Robatto

24-17: Digital Payments in Firm Networks: Theory of Adoption and Quantum Algorithm

Sofia Priazhkina, Samuel Palmer, Pablo Martín-Ramiro, Román Orús, Samuel Mugel and Vladimir Skavysh

24-16: The Macroeconomic Implications of Coholding

Michael Boutros and Andrej Mijakovic

24-15: Finding a Needle in a Haystack: A Machine Learning Framework for Anomaly Detection in Payment Systems

Ajit Desai, Anneke Kosse and Jacob Sharples

24-14: Endogenous Credibility and Wage-Price Spirals

Olena Kostyshyna, Tolga Özden and Yang Zhang

24-13: Parallel Tempering for DSGE Estimation

Joshua Brault

24-12: U.S. Macroeconomic News and Low-Frequency Changes in Small Open Economies’ Bond Yields

Bingxin Xing, Bruno Feunou, Morvan Nongni-Donfack and Rodrigo Sekkel

24-11: Unintended Consequences of the Home Affordable Refinance Program

Phoebe Tian and Chen Zheng

24-10: Forecasting Recessions in Canada: An Autoregressive Probit Model Approach

Antoine Poulin-Moore and Kerem Tuzcuoglu

24-9: Monetary Policy Transmission Through Shadow and Traditional Banks

Yuteng Cheng and Ryuichiro Izumi

24-8: Monetary Policy Transmission Through Shadow and Traditional Banks

Amina Enkhbold

24-7: Regulation, Emissions and Productivity: Evidence from China’s Eleventh Five-Year Plan

Brantly Callaway, Tong Li, Joel Rodrigue, Yuya Sasaki and Yong Tan

24-6: Decomposing Large Banks’ Systemic Trading Losses

Radoslav Raykov

24-5: How Do Agents Form Macroeconomic Expectations? Evidence from Inflation Uncertainty

Tao Wang

24-4: Central Bank Digital Currency and Banking Choices

Jiaqi Li, Andrew Usher and Yu Zhu

24-3: The Role of International Financial Integration in Monetary Policy Transmission

Jing Cynthia Wu, Yinxi Xie and Ji Zhang

24-2: The Role of Long-Term Contracting in Business Lending

Phoebe Tian

24-1: Extreme Weather and Low-Income Household Finance: Evidence from Payday Loans

Shihan Xie, Victoria Wenxin Xie and Xu Zhang

23-63: Communicating Inflation Uncertainty and Household Expectations Metropolitan Areas

Olena Kostyshyna and Luba Petersen

23-62: Monetary Policy and Racial Inequality in Housing Markets: A Study of 140 US Metropolitan Areas

Qi Li and Xu Zhang

23-61: Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function

Tony Chernis, Niko Hauzenberger, Florian Huber, Gary Koop and James Mitchell

23-60: Third-Country Effects of U.S. Immigration Policy

Agostina Brinatti and Xing Guo

23-59: Perceived versus Calibrated Income Risks in Heterogeneous-Agent Consumption Models

Tao Wang

23-58: Testing Collusion and Cooperation in Binary Choice Games

Erhao Xie

23-57: Immigration and Provision of Public Goods: Evidence at the Local Level in the U.S

Anna Maria Mayda, Mine Senses and Walter Steingress

23-56: International Portfolio Rebalancing and Fiscal Policy Spillovers

Sami Alpanda, Uluc Aysun and Serdar Kabaca

23-55: The Heterogeneous Impacts of Job Displacement: Evidence from Canadian Job Separation Records

Serdar Birinci, Youngmin Park and Kurt See

23-54: Borrow Now, Pay Even Later: A Quantitative Analysis of Student Debt Payment Plans

Michael Boutros, Nuno Clara and Francisco Gomes

23-53: Identifying Nascent High-Growth Firms Using Machine Learning

Stephanie Houle and Ryan Macdonald

23-52: Labor Market Shocks and Monetary Policy

Serdar Birinci, Fatih Karahan, Yusuf Mercan and Kurt See

23-51: Intermediary Market Power and Capital Constraints

Jason Allen and Milena Wittwer

23-50: Anonymous Credentials: Secret-Free and Quantum-Safe

Raza Kazmi and Cyrus Minwalla

23-49: Should Banks Be Worried About Dividend Restrictions?

Josef Schroth

23-48: The Macroeconomic Effects of Debt Relief Policies During Recessions

Soyoung Lee

23-47: Labour Supply and Firm Size

Lin Shao, Faisal Sohail and Emircan Yurdagul

23-46: International Economic Sanctions and Third-Country Effects

Fabio Ghironi, Daisoon Kim and Galip Ozhan

23-45: Combining Large Numbers of Density Predictions with Bayesian Predictive Synthesis

Tony Chernis

23-44: A Behavioral New Keynesian Model of a Small Open Economy Under Limited Foresight

Seunghoon Na and Yinxi Xie

23-43: Competition for Exclusivity and Customer Lock-in: Evidence from Copyright Enforcement in China

Youming Liu

23-42: Understanding DeFi Through the Lens of a Production-Network Model

Jonathan Chiu, Thorsten Koeppl, Hanna Yu and Shengxing Zhang