Staff Analytical Papers

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2026-33: Supply and Demand-Driven inflation: Decomposition and policy implications

Kira Kang, Rodrigo Sekkel, Temel Taskin and Jing Yang

2026-32: The Boundaries of Bank Funding: The Case of Canadian Cash ETFs

Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, Vincent Meh and Jayden Plener

2026-31: Central Clearing in Repo Markets: Do the Benefits Extend to Non-Dealers?

Danny Auger and Adrian Walton

2026-30: The Impact of Potential Retail Central Bank Digital Currency on the Canadian Financial System During a Severe Recession

Sofia Priazhkina

2026-29: The investor base for sovereign debt: Why diversification matters

Sam Foxall and Jeffrey Gao

2026-28: Understanding Systemic Risks in the Canadian Financial System

Gabriel Bruneau, Sascha Clazie-Thomson, Thibaut Duprey, Ruben Hipp, Javier Ojea Ferreiro and Kerem Tuzcuoglu

2026-27: Monetary Policy in a Volatile World: ToTEM Simulations

Edward Booth, Edouard Djeutem, Oleksiy Kryvtsov, Fanny McKellips and Yang Zhang

2026-26: Everything You Want to Know About the Bank’s Standing Liquidity Facility… But were too afraid to ask!

Kaetlynd McRae and Jessie Ziqing Chen

2026-25: Unpacking interest rate uncertainty in 2025

Harshbir Kaur and Rishi Vala

2026-24: Deglobalization and Trade Fragmentation: Implications for the Inflation-Output Trade-Off

Matteo Cacciatore, Daniela Hauser and Yuko Imura

2026-23: Recent Evidence on the Resiliency of Flexible Inflation Targeting

Edoardo Briganti, Wei Dong, Olena Kostyshyna, Soyoung Lee, Florent Samson and Rodrigo Sekkel

2026-22: Survey Evidence on Firm AI Adoption and its Implications

Chanya Chawla and Crystal Arnburg

2026-21: Assessing the US and Canadian neutral rates: 2026 update

Felipe Alves, William Beaudoin, Hélène Desgagnés, Wei Dong, Jan David Schneider, Eugene Trostin, Argyn Toktamyssov and Hannes Twieling

2026-20: Assessing global potential output growth: April 2026

Daniel de Munnik, Kristina Hess, Walter Muiruri, Tuuli McCully, Faiza Noor, Sabreena Obaid, Andrew Plummer, Louis Poirier, Abeer Reza and Jillian Schwartz

2026-19: Potential output in Canada: 2026 assessment

Alex Chernoff, Christopher Hajzler, Stéphanie Houle, Gabriella Ruggero, Olena Senyuta, Karanbir Sohal, Walter Steingress and Temel Taskin

2026-18: Distributing Sovereign Debt in a Rising Debt Environment: Outcomes from Canada’s 2024 Debt Distribution Framework Review

William Bradley and Jeffrey Gao

2026-16: Communicating the Future Direction of Policy

Jonathan Witmer and Monica Jain

2026-15: A buoy on funding tides: How client repo demand and dealer constraints lifted CORRA

Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, Neil Maru and Sofia Tchamova

2026-14: The Impact of Mortgage Interest Costs on Rental Inflation Amid Population Growth

Amina Enkhbold and Serdar Kabaca

2026-13: DeFi Lending: Returns, Leverage, and Liquidation Risk

Jonathan Chiu and Furkan Danisman

2026-12: Examining the macro drivers of mortgage arrears in Canada

Thomas Michael Pugh, Tao Wang and Taylor Webley

2026-11: Government of Canada Fixed-Income Market Ecology II: Government of Canada Bond Dealing

Petr Kocourek and Adrian Walton

2026-10: Repo transaction costs and balance sheet frictions

Yanis Belkacem, Fabienne Schneider and Adrian Walton

2026-9: The Governor’s Challenge: A Decade of Success

James Chapman, Stéphanie Houle and Lawrence L. Schembri

2026-8: Project Samara Research Paper

Rakesh Arora, Umar Faruqui, Scott Hendry, Dinesh Shah, André Usche, Mark Byrne, Caroline Cook, Kevin Fraites, Wally Forsyth, Alex Caridia, Chris Meston, Teresa Venturino, Devon Read, Chadrick Buffel, Anne Boulanger, Sylvie Lacombe and Marsha Loraas

2026-7: Macro News in Market Moves: Classifying News through Asset Co-movements

Bruno Feunou, Jean-Sébastien Fontaine and Rishi Vala

2026-6: How Do Some Lower-Income Canadians Pay

Jerry Buckland, Christopher Henry, Wendy Nur, Aidan Romanow-Bear and Stephen Wild

2026-5: The aggregate and heterogeneous effects of responding to shelter inflation

Michael Irwin and Matías Vieyra

2026-4: AI Paradox: Promise vs. Reality—What It Means for Monetary Policy

Joshua Brault, Maryam Haghighi and Jing Yang

2026-3: Consumers’ Path to Mortgage Delinquency

Laura Zhao, Jia Qi Xiao and Aidan Witts

2026-21fr: Évaluation des taux neutres aux États-Unis et au Canada: mise à jour de 2026

Felipe Alves, William Beaudoin, Hélène Desgagnés, Wei Dong, Jan David Schneider, Eugene Trostin, Argyn Toktamyssov and Hannes Twieling

2026-17: Integrating Non-traditional Data and AI into Central Banking: A Canadian Perspective

James Chapman, Ajit Desai, Maryam Haghighi and James (Jim) C. MacGee

2026-2: Channels of Transmission: How Mortgage Rates Affect House Prices and Rents in Canada

Nishaad Rao and Tao Wang

2026-1: Extraordinary Forward Guidance in Canada During the Pandemic

Christopher S. Sutherland