Firm-Level and Aggregate Effects of Cheaper Liquidity: evidence from factoring

Victor Orestes, Thiago Silva () and Henry Zhang

No 611, Working Papers Series from Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department

Abstract: We show firms experience large contemporaneous increases in sales and purchases after receiving cheaper liquidity. We focus on factoring, defined as the supplier-initiated sale of receivables. In Brazil, receivables funds (FIDCs) securitize receivables for institutional investors. By assembling a novel transaction-level dataset of factoring with other credit operations for all registered firms and FIDCs, we construct a shift-share instrument for the supply of factoring financing based on FIDC flows. We then use a novel combination of electronic payments, trade credit, and employer-employee matched data to estimate the impacts. A flow-induced increase in receivables demand reduces firms’ factoring interest rate. In response, firms demand more permanent labor and less temporary labor. In our model, these effects arise from factoring’s purpose of reducing cash inflow volatility, helping firms match inflows to outflows, which firms otherwise achieve at an efficiency cost through substitution across labor types. Using our model, we estimate an aggregate decrease in the economy-wide factoring spread of 1 percentage point leads to 0.3 to 0.5 percentage point increases in aggregate output and wages.

Date: 2024-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fdg
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