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Working Papers Series

From Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department
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550: High Lending Interest Rates in Brazil: cost or concentration? Downloads
Thiago Trafane Oliveira Santos
549: Blurred Crystal Ball: investigating the forecasting challenges after a great exogenous shock Downloads
Marcelo Aragão
548: Credit Allocation When Private Banks Distribute Government Loans Downloads
Jose Ornelas, Alvaro Pedraza, Claudia Ruiz-Ortega and Thiago Silva
547: Financial Access and Labor Market Outcomes: evidence from credit lotteries Downloads
Bernardus Van Doornik, Armando Gomes, David Schoenherr and Janis Skrastins
546: Human Capital and Startup Financing Downloads
Mauricio Medeiros Jr and Bernardus Van Doornik
545: Transfer Learning for Business Cycle Identification Downloads
Marcelle Chauvet and Rafael Guimaraes
544: Machine Learning and Oil Price Point and Density Forecasting Downloads
Alexandre Costa, Pedro Ferreira, Wagner Gaglianone, Osmani Guillén, João Issler and Yihao Lin
543: A Non-Knotty Inflation Risk Premium Model Downloads
José Vicente
542: Deposit insurance and brokerage firms: impacts on the market discipline of the Brazilian banking industry Downloads
Marília Ohlson, Gerlando de Lima and Tony Takeda
541: Bank Loan Forbearance: evidence from a million restructured loans Downloads
Frederico Mourad, Rafael Schiozer and Toni dos Santos
540: Regulatory Banking Leverage: what do you know? Downloads
Douglas München and Herbert Kimura
539: Commodity Prices and Global Economic Activity: a derived-demand approach Downloads
Angelo Duarte, Wagner Gaglianone, Osmani Guillén and João Issler
538: Government Banks, Household Debt, and Economic Downturns: the case of Brazil Downloads
Gabriel Garber, Atif Mian, Jacopo Ponticelli and Amir Sufi
537: Countercyclical Liquidity Policy and Credit Cycles: evidence from macroprudential and monetary policy in Brazil Downloads
João Barroso, Rodrigo Gonzalez, Jose-Luis Peydro and Bernardus Van Doornik
536: Effects of Monetary Policy News on Financial Assets: evidence from Brazil on a bivariate VAR-GARCH model (2006-17) Downloads
Tarciso Silva, Osmani Guillén, George Morcerf and Andre Modenesi
535: What is the Importance of a Country's Banking Market for Financial Development? Downloads
Cláudio Moraes, José Antunes and Márcio Coutinho
534: Labor and finance: the effect of bank relationships Downloads
Patrick Behr, Lars Norden and Raquel Oliveira
533: Financial Intermediation, Human Capital Development and Economic Growth Downloads
Emerson Schmitz and Thiago Silva
532: Financial Development and Labor Markets: evidence from Brazil Downloads
Julia Fonseca and Bernardus Van Doornik
531: Economic Resilience: spillovers, courts, and vertical integration Downloads
Dimas Fazio, Thiago Silva and Janis Skrastins
530: Forward Guidance Matters: disentangling monetary policy shocks Downloads
Leonardo Ferreira
529: Short-Term Predictability of Stock Market Indexes following Large Drawdowns and Drawups Downloads
Vinicius Brandi
528: Medidas de Núcleo de Inflação para o Brasil baseadas no Método Wavelets? Downloads
Nelson Silva
527: Is the Equity Risk Premium Compressed in Brazil? Downloads
Alexandre Carvalho and Thiago Trafane Oliveira Santos
526: RegGae: a toolkit for macroprudential policy with DSGEs Downloads
Eduardo Castro
525: Long-term stock returns in Brazil: volatile equity returns for U.S.-like investors Downloads
Eurilton Araújo, Ricardo Brito and Antonio Sanvicente
524: A General Characterization of the Capital Cost and the Natural Interest Rate: an application for Brazil Downloads
Thiago Trafane Oliveira Santos
523: Unemployment Insurance as a Subsidy to Risky Firms Downloads
Bernardus Van Doornik, Dimas Fazio, David Schoenherr and Janis Skrastins
522: Housing Collateral Reform and Economic Reallocation Downloads
Dimas Fazio and Thiago Silva
521: Creditor's Protection and Bank Loans: market power and bankruptcy reform's effects Downloads
Leonardo Alencar, Rodrigo Andrade and Klenio Barbosa
520: Equality and Responsibility in Financial Crisis: an ethical approach to the regulation of bail-outs, moral hazards and accountability Downloads
Ramiro Peres
519: Effects of State-Owned Banks’ Programs to Stimulate Credit: evidence from Brazil Downloads
Emerson Schmitz
518: Monetary Policy Surprises and Employment: evidence from matched bank-firm loan data on the bank lending-channel Downloads
Rodrigo Gonzalez
517: Investors’ Behavior and Mutual Fund Portfolio Allocations in Brazil during the Global Financial Crisis Downloads
Fernando Linardi
516: A Data-Rich Measure of Underlying Inflation for Brazil Downloads
Vicente Machado, Raquel Nadal and Fernando Kawaoka
515: Option-Based Risk Aversion Indicators for Predicting Currency Crises in Emerging Markets Downloads
Jaqueline Marins
514: Monetary Policy and Reserve Requirements in a Small Open Economy Downloads
Carlos Haraguchi and Jose Angelo Divino
513: Efficient Solutions for Pricing and Hedging Interest Rate Asian Options Downloads
Allan Silva, Jack Baczynski and José Vicente
512: Informational Switching Costs, Bank Competition and the Cost of Finance Downloads
Jose Ornelas, Marcos Silva and Bernardus Van Doornik
511: Is There Help Indeed, if There is Help in Need? The case of credit unions during the global financial crisis Downloads
Leila Aghabarari, Andre Guettler, Mahvish Naeem and Bernardus Van Doornik
510: Crédito Cooperativo e Desenvolvimento Econômico Regional no Estado do Paraná Downloads
Marcos Meneghini
509: Hedger of Last Resort: evidence from Brazilian FX interventions, local credit, and global financial cycles Downloads
Rodrigo Gonzalez, Dmitry Khametshin, Jose-Luis Peydro and Andrea Polo
508: Bank Competition, Cost of Credit and Economic Activity: evidence from Brazil Downloads
Gustavo Joaquim, Bernardus Van Doornik and Jose Ornelas
507: Credit Shock Propagation in Firm Networks: evidence from government bank credit expansions Downloads
Gustavo Cortes, Thiago Silva and Bernardus Van Doornik
506: The Finance-Growth Nexus: the role of banks Downloads
Thiago Silva, Benjamin Tabak and Marcela Laiz
505: Earmarked Credit and Monetary Policy Power: micro and macro considerations Downloads
Pedro Castro
504: Bailing in Banks: costs and benefits Downloads
Sergio Souza, Thiago Silva and Carlos Almeida
503: Sectoral Countercyclical Buffers in a DSGE Model with a Banking Sector Downloads
Marcos Castro
502: A Volatility Smile-Based Uncertainty Index Downloads
José Vicente and Jaqueline Marins
501: Elections, Heterogeneity of Central Bankers and Inflationary Pressure: the case for staggered terms for the president and the central banker Downloads
Maurício Bugarin and Fabia Carvalho
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