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Timed to say goodbye: does unemployment benefit eligibility affect worker layoffs?

Andrea Albanese (), Corinna Ghirelli () and Matteo Picchio ()
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Corinna Ghirelli: Banco de españa

No 1904, Working Papers from Banco de España, Working Papers Homepage

Abstract: We study how unemployment benefit eligibility affects the layoff exit rate by exploiting quasiexperimental variation in eligibility rules in Italy. By using a difference-indifferences estimator, we find an instantaneous increase of about 12% in the layoff probability when unemployment benefit eligibility is attained, which persists for about 16 weeks. These findings are robust to different identifying assumptions and are mostly driven by jobs started after the onset of the Great Recession, in the South and for small firms. We argue that the moral hazard from the employer’s side is the main force driving these layoffs.

Keywords: unemployment insurance; layoffs; employer–employee moral hazard; differencein-differences; heterogeneous effects (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C31 C41 J21 J63 J65 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ias and nep-lab
Date: 2019-03
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https://www.bde.es/f/webbde/SES/Secciones/Publicac ... /19/Fich/dt1904e.pdf First version, March 2019 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Timed to say goodbye: Does unemployment benefit eligibility affect worker layoffs? (2019) Downloads
Working Paper: Timed to Say Goodbye: Does Unemployment Benefit Eligibility Affect Worker Layoffs? (2019) Downloads
Working Paper: TIMED TO SAY GOODBYE: DOES UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFIT ELIGIBILITY AFFECT WORKER LAYOFFS? (2019) Downloads
Working Paper: Timed to Say Goodbye: Does Unemployment Benefit Eligibility Affect Worker Layoffs? (2019) Downloads
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