Working Papers

From Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics
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2020-131: The Education Gradient in Maternal Enjoyment of Time in Childcare

Ariel Kalil, Susan Meyer, William Delgado and Lisa Gennetian

2020-130: Non-Random Exposure to Exogenous Shocks: Theory and Applications

Kirill Borusyak and Peter Hull

2020-129: The Historical Perspective on the Trump Puzzle: A Review of Barry Eichengreen’s “The Populist Temptation: Economic Grievance and Political Reaction in the Modern Eraâ€

Konstantin Sonin

2020-128: Fifty Shades of QE: Conflicts of Interest in Economic Research

Brian Fabo, Martina Jancokova, Elisabeth Kempf and Lubos Pastor

2020-127: Institutional Change and Institutional Persistence

Daron Acemoglu, Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin

2020-126: Unpaired Kidney Exchange: Overcoming Double Coincidence of Wants without Money

Mohammad Akbarpour, Julien Combe, YingHua He, Victor Hiller, Robert Shimer and Olivier Tercieux

2020-125: On the Use of Outcome Tests for Detecting Bias in Decision Making

Ivan Canay, Magne Mogstad and Jack Mountjoy

2020-124: Reservation Wages and Workers’ Valuation of Job Flexibility: Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment

Kuan-Ming Chen, Ning Ding, John List and Magne Mogstad

2020-123: Measuring the Cost of Living in Mexico and the US

David Argente, Chang-Tai Hsieh and Munseob Lee

2020-122: Doubling Down on Debt: Limited Liability as a Financial Friction

Jesse Perla, Carolin Pflueger and Michal Szkup

2020-121: Uncertainty Spillovers for Markets and Policy

Lars Hansen

2020-120: Dust Bowl Migrants: Identifying an Archetype

Richard Hornbeck

2020-119: The Great Lockdown and the Big Stimulus: Tracing the Pandemic Possibility Frontier for the U.S

Greg Kaplan, Benjamin Moll and Giovanni Violante

2020-118: Business Incomes at the Top

Wojciech Kopczuk and Eric Zwick

2020-117: Who Profits from Amateurism? Rent-Sharing in Modern College Sports

Craig Garthwaite, Jordan Keener, Matthew Notowidigdo and Nicole Ozminkowski

2020-116: COVID-19 Lockdown Policies at the State and Local Level

Austan Goolsbee, Nicole Luo, Roxanne Nesbitt and Chad Syverson

2020-115: What Is CEO Overconfidence? Evidence from Executive Assessments

Steven Kaplan, Morten Sorensen and Anastasia Zakolyukina

2020-114: Exit vs. Voice

Eleonora Broccardo, Oliver Hart and Luigi Zingales

2020-113: The $100 Million Nudge: Increasing Tax Compliance of Businesses and the Self-Employed using a Natural Field Experiment

Justin Holz, John List, Alejandro Zentner, Marvin Cardoza and Joaquin Zentner

2020-112: Dynamic Trade-offs and Labor Supply under the CARES Act

Corina Boar and Simon Mongey

2020-111: Generalizable and Robust TV Advertising Effects

Bradley Shapiro, Günter Hitsch and Anna Tuchman

2020-110: Information versus Investment

Stephen Terry, Toni Whited and Anastasia Zakolyukina

2020-109: How Did U.S. Consumers Use Their Stimulus Payments?

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

2020-108: Mortality Effects and Choice Across Private Health Insurance Plans

Jason Abaluck, Mauricio Caceres Bravo, Peter Hull and Amanda Starc

2020-107: Investors’ Beliefs and Asset Prices: A Structural Model of Cryptocurrency Demand

Matteo Benetton and Giovanni Compiani

2020-106: An Instrumental Variable Approach to Dynamic Models

Steven Berry and Giovanni Compiani

2020-105: Valuation of Long-Term Property Rights under Political Uncertainty

Zhiguo He, Maggie Hu, Zhenping Wang and Vincent Yao

2020-104: Tracking Mask Mandates during the COVID-19 Pandemic

Austin Wright, Geet Chawla, Luke Chen and Anthony Farmer

2020-103: Making Decisions under Model Misspecification

Simone Cerreia†Vioglio, Lars Hansen, Fabio Maccheroni and Massimo Marinacci

2020-102: Unmasking Partisanship: Polarization Undermines Public Response to Collective Risk

Maria Milosh, Marcus Painter, Konstantin Sonin, David Van Dijcke and Austin Wright

2020-101: A Continuous-Time Model of Financial Clearing

Isaac Sonin and Konstantin Sonin

2020-100: Why Do Borrowers Default on Mortgages? A New Method For Causal Attribution

Peter Ganong and Pascal Noel

2020-99: Policy Evaluation with Multiple Instrumental Variables

Magne Mogstad, Alexander Torgovitsky and Christopher Walters

2020-98: Financial Fragility in the COVID-19 Crisis: The Case of Investment Funds in Corporate Bond Markets

Antonio Falato, Itay Goldstein and Ali Hortaçsu

2020-97: Inference with Imperfect Randomization: The Case of the Perry Preschool Program

James Heckman and Rodrigo Pinto

2020-96: Mutual Fund Performance and Flows During the COVID-19 Crisis

Lubos Pastor and Blair Vorsatz

2020-95: Uncertainty and Decision-Making During a Crisis: How to Make Policy Decisions in the COVID-19 Context?

Loïc Berger, Nicolas Berger, Valentina Bosetti, Itzhak Gilboa, Lars Hansen, Christopher Jarvis, Massimo Marinacci and Richard Smith

2020-94: Technology Diffusion

Nancy Stokey

2020-93: Rationing the Commons

Nicholas Ryan and Anant Sudarshan

2020-92: Informing Entrepreneurs: Public Corporate Disclosure and New Business Formation

John Barrios, Jung Ho Choi, Yael Hochberg, Jinhwan Kim and Miao Liu

2020-91: Is Attention Produced Rationally?

Erin Bronchetti, Judd Kessler, Ellen Magenheim, Dmitry Taubinsky and Eric Zwick

2020-90: The Macroeconomics of Sticky Prices with Generalized Hazard Functions

Fernando Alvarez, Aleksei Oskolkov and Francesco Lippi

2020-89: U.S. Banks and Global Liquidity

Ricardo Correa, Wenxin Du and Gordon Liao

2020-88: Economic Uncertainty Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Dave Altig, Scott Baker, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Phil Bunn, Scarlett Chen, Steven Davis, Brent Meyer, Emil Mihaylov, Paul Mizen, Nick Parker, Thomas Renault, Pawel Smietanka and Greg Thwaites

2020-87: Can Technology Solve the Principal-Agent Problem? Evidence from China’s War on Air Pollution

Michael Greenstone, Guojun He, Ruixue Jia and Tong Liu

2020-86: Quantifying the High-Frequency Trading “Arms Raceâ€: A Simple New Methodology and Estimates

Matteo Aquilina and Eric Budish

2020-85: Pooled Testing for Quarantine Decisions

Elliot Lipnowski and Doron Ravid

2020-84: Income and Poverty in the COVID-19 Pandemic

Jeehoon Han, Bruce Meyer and James Sullivan

2020-83: Measuring the Labor Market at the Onset of the COVID-19 Crisis

Alexander Bartik, Marianne Bertrand, Feng Lin, Jesse Rothstein and Matt Unrath

2020-82: Initial Impacts of the Pandemic on Consumer Behavior: Evidence from Linked Income, Spending, and Savings Data

Natalie Cox, Peter Ganong, Pascal Noel, Joseph Vavra, Arlene Wong, Diana Farrell and Fiona Greig