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The financial cycle and macroeconomics: What have we learnt?

Claudio Borio

No 395, BIS Working Papers from Bank for International Settlements

Abstract: It is high time we rediscovered the role of the financial cycle in macroeconomics. In the environment that has prevailed for at least three decades now, it is not possible to understand business fluctuations and the corresponding analytical and policy challenges without understanding the financial cycle. This calls for a rethink of modelling strategies and for significant adjustments to macroeconomic policies. This essay highlights the stylised empirical features of the financial cycle, conjectures as to what it may take to model it satisfactorily, and considers its policy implications. In the discussion of policy, the essay pays special attention to the bust phase, which is less well explored and raises much more controversial issues.

Keywords: financial cycle; business cycle; medium term; financial crises; monetary economy; balance sheet recessions; balance sheet repair (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 38 pages
Date: 2012-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban, nep-mac, nep-mon and nep-pke
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (286)

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Journal Article: The financial cycle and macroeconomics: What have we learnt? (2014) Downloads
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