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Non-monetary news in central bank communication

Anna Cieslak and Andreas Schrimpf

No 761, BIS Working Papers from Bank for International Settlements

Abstract: We quantify the importance of non-monetary news in central bank communication. Using evidence from four major central banks and a comprehensive classification of events, we decompose news conveyed by central banks into news about monetary policy, economic growth, and separately, shocks to risk premia. Our approach exploits high-frequency comovement of stocks and interest rates combined with monotonicity restrictions across the yield curve. We find significant differences in news composition depending on the communication channel used by central banks. Non-monetary news prevails in about 40% of policy decision announcements by the Fed and the ECB, and this fraction is even higher for communications that provide context to policy decisions such as press conferences. We show that non-monetary news accounts for a significant part of financial markets' reaction during the financial crisis and in the early recovery, while monetary shocks gain importance since 2013.

Keywords: central bank communication; monetary policy shocks; yield curve; stock-bond comovement; central bank information effects; risk premia (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G12 E43 E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac and nep-mon
Date: 2018-12
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Working Paper: Non-Monetary News in Central Bank Communication (2018) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bis:biswps:761

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