Pass-through of exchange rates and import prices to domestic inflation in some industrialised economies

Jonathan McCarthy

No 79, BIS Working Papers from Bank for International Settlements

Abstract: This paper examines the impact of exchange rates and import prices on domestic PPI and CPI in selected industrialised economies. The empirical model is a VAR incorporating a distribution chain of pricing. Impulse responses and variance decompositions indicate that these external factors have a modest effect on domestic price inflation over the post-Bretton Woods era. The pass-through is somewhat stronger in countries with a larger import share. A historical decomposition over 1996-98 indicates, however, that external factors have had a sizable disinflationary effect in most of the countries during the past couple of years. Estimating the model using post-1982 data has little effect on these conclusions.

Pages: 48 pages
Date: 1999-11
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (140)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Pass-Through of Exchange Rates and Import Prices to Domestic Inflation in Some Industrialized Economies (2007)
Working Paper: Pass-through of exchange rates and import prices to domestic inflation in some industrialized economies (2000)
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