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Budgetary Implications of Economic Scenarios With Higher and Lower Interest Rates: Working Paper 2022-04

Congressional Budget Office

No 57908, Working Papers from Congressional Budget Office

Abstract: This paper illustrates how the Congressional Budget Office’s July 2021 baseline budget projections would have differed if the agency had used two alternative economic forecasts. Because interest rates on Treasury securities are especially important for budget projections, CBO examined the budgetary implications of two scenarios with divergent paths for those rates. Specifically, CBO started with information from the Blue Chip Economic Indicators to construct the scenarios: The high-sixth scenario

JEL-codes: E47 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022-03-24
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