Unemployment Insurance and Job Search in the Great Recession

Jesse Rothstein

Department of Economics, Working Paper Series from Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley

Abstract: Nearly two years after the official end of the "Great Recession," the labor marketremains historically weak. One candidate explanation is supply-side effects driven bydramatic expansions of Unemployment Insurance (UI) benefit durations, to as many as 99 weeks. This paper investigates the effect of these UI extensions on job search and reemployment. I use the longitudinal structure of the Current Population Survey toconstruct unemployment exit hazards that vary across states, over time, and betweenindividuals with differing unemployment durations. I then use these hazards to explore a variety of comparisons intended to distinguish the effects of UI extensions from other determinants of employment outcomes. The various specifications yield quite similar results. UI extensions had significantbut small negative effects on the probability that the eligible unemployed would exitunemployment, concentrated among the long-term unemployed. The estimates implythat UI benefit extensions raised the unemployment rate in early 2011 by only about 0.1–0.5 percentage points, much less than is implied by previous analyses, with at least half of this effect attributable to reduced labor force exit among the unemployed rather than to the changes in reemployment rates that are of greater policy concern.

Keywords: Business; Social and Behavioral Sciences; Unemployment Insurance; Great Recession (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011-10-16
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (224)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/5611t356.pdf;origin=repeccitec (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Unemployment Insurance and Job Search in the Great Recession (2011)
Working Paper: Unemployment Insurance and Job Search in the Great Recession (2011)
Working Paper: Unemployment Insurance and Job Search in the Great Recession (2011)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cdl:econwp:qt5611t356

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Department of Economics, Working Paper Series from Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Lisa Schiff ().