Department of Economics, Working Paper Series

From Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley
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2023: Forward Guidance and Household Expectations

Olivier Coibion, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

2022: The Euro Crisis in the Mirror of the EMS: How Tying Odysseus to the Mast Avoided the Sirens but Led Him to Charybdis

Giancarlo Corsetti, Barry Eichengreen, Galina Hale and Eric Tallman

2022: Conference Presentations and Academic Publishing

Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Tho Pham and Oleksandr Talavera

2022: How Does Consumption Respond to News About Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial

Olivier Coibion, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Maarten van Rooij

2022: Inflation Expectations and Firm Decisions: New Causal Evidence

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Tiziano Ropele

2022: Consumption Inequality and the Frequency of Purchases

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Dmitri Koustas

2022: How Firms Absorb Demand Side Shocks: Evidence from a Natural Experiment

Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Oleksandr Talavera and Volodymyr Bilotkach

2022: Selection Bias in College Admissions Test Scores

Jesse Rothstein

2022: Review of Learning About Teaching

Jesse Rothstein

2022: An Equilibrium Theory of Rationing

Paul Klemperer and Richard Gilbert

2022: The Measurement of Student Ability in Modern Assesmsent Systems

Jesse Rothstein and B Jacob

2022: Review of Two Culminating Reports from the MET Project

Jesse Rothstein and W Mathis

2022: Intellectual Property for Economic Development: Issues and Policy Implications

Bh Hall

2022: Fiscal multipliers in the COVID19 recession

Alan Auerbach, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Peter B McCrory and Daniel Murphy

2022: Forward Guidance and Household Expectations

Olivier Coibion, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

2022: Does Policy Communication during COVID Work?

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

2022: No firm is an island? How industry conditions shape firms’ expectations

Philippe Andrade, Olivier Coibion, Erwan Gautier and Yuriy Gorodnichenko

2022: Does Policy Communication during COVID Work?

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

2021: Reporting all results efficiently: A RARE proposal to open up the file drawer

David D Laitin, Edward Miguel, Ala' Alrababa'h, Aleksandar Bogdanoski, Sean Grant, Katherine Hoeberling, Cecilia Hyunjung Mo, Don A Moore, Simine Vazire, Jeremy Weinstein and Scott Williamson

2021: Inequality, fiscal policy and COVID19 restrictions in a demand-determined economy

Alan Auerbach, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Daniel Murphy

2021: Do You Know that I Know that You Know...? Higher-Order Beliefs in Survey Data

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Saten Kumar and Jane Ryngaert

2021: Twenty-year economic impacts of deworming

Joan Hamory, Edward Miguel, Michael Walker, Michael Kremer and Sarah Baird

2021: Local regression distribution estimators

Matias Cattaneo, Michael Jansson and Xinwei Ma

2021: Falling living standards during the COVID-19 crisis: Quantitative evidence from nine developing countries

Dennis Egger, Edward Miguel, Shana S Warren, Ashish Shenoy, Elliott Collins, Dean Karlan, Doug Parkerson, Ahmed Mobarak, Günther Fink, Christopher Udry, Michael Walker, Johannes Haushofer, Magdalena Larreboure, Susan Athey, Paula Lopez-Pena, Salim Benhachmi, Macartan Humphreys, Layna Lowe, Niccoló F Meriggi, Andrew Wabwire, C Austin Davis, Utz Johann Pape, Tilman Graff, Maarten Voors, Carolyn Nekesa and Corey Vernot

2021: Elections and selfishness

K Bjorvatn, Simon Galle, Lio Berge, E Miguel, Dn Posner, Bertil Tungodden and K Zhang

2021: Revenge of the experts: Will COVID-19 renew or diminish public trust in science?

Barry Eichengreen, Cevat Giray Aksoy and Orkun Saka

2020: Greater Inequality and Household Borrowing: New Evidence from Household Data

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Marianna Kudlyak and J Mondragon

2020: Reply to Whitehead

Wh Desvousges, Ke Mathews and Ke Train

2020: Political Polarization and Expected Economic Outcomes

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

2020: Forecast Error Variance Decompositions with Local Projections

Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Byoungchan Lee

2020: Bootstrap-Based Inference for Cube Root Asymptotics

Matias Cattaneo, Michael Jansson and K Nagasawa

2020: Measuring the labor market at the onset of the COVID-19 crisis

Alexander Bartik, Marianne Bertrand, Feng Lin, Jesse Rothstein and Matthew Unrath

2020: General equilibrium effects of cash transfers: experimental evidence from Kenya

Dennis Egger, Johannes Haushofer, Edward Miguel, Paul Niehaus and Michael Walker

2020: Simple Local Polynomial Density Estimators

Matias Cattaneo, Michael Jansson and X Ma

2020: Does Policy Communication During Covid Work?

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

2020: The Cost of the COVID-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

2020: The Cost of the COVID-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

2020: The Cost of the Covid-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

2020: Effects of Fiscal Policy on Credit Markets

Alan Auerbach, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Daniel Murphy

2020: Labor Markets During the COVID-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

2020: The Euro Crisis in the Mirror of the EMS: How Tying Odysseus to the Mast Avoided the Sirens but Led Him to Charybdis

Giancarlo Corsetti, Barry Eichengreen, Galina Hale and E Tallman

2020: Labor Markets During the Covid-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

2020: Local Fiscal Multipliers and Fiscal Spillovers in the USA

Alan Auerbach, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and D Murphy

2020: Dominant currency paradigm†

Gita Gopinath, E Boz, Camila Casas, Fj Díez, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and Mikkel Plagborg-Moller

2020: Spectrum Concentration and Performance of the U.S. Wireless Industry

Ga Woroch

2020: Forward Guidance and Household Expectations

Olivier Coibion, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

2020: Labor Markets During the Covid-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

2020: Coronavirus Pandemic: Europe Is Once Again Forged in a Crisis

Barry Eichengreen

2020: Forward Guidance and Household Expectations

Olivier Coibion, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

2020: Do foreign investment and trade spur innovation?

Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Jan Svejnar and Katherine Terrell

2020: The effects of the COVID pandemic on the federal budget outlook

Alan Auerbach and William Gale

2020: The Cost of the COVID-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

2020: Does Policy Communication During COVID Work?

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber

2020: Individualism, Polarization and Recovery from the COVID-19 Crisis

Barry Eichengreen

2020: Can Nudges Increase Take-up of the EITC?: Evidence from Multiple Field Experiments

Elizabeth Linos, Allen Prohofsky, Aparna Ramesh, Jesse Rothstein and Matt Unrath