CEP Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Performance, LSE
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2021: Men are from Mars, and women too: a Bayesian meta-analysis of overconfidence experiments

Oriana Bandiera, Nidhi Parekh, Barbara Petrongolo and Michelle Rao

2021: The environmental cost of the international job market for economists

Olivier Chanel, Alberto Prati and Morgan Raux

2021: Product market competition, creative destruction and innovation

Rachel Griffith and John van Reenen

2021: Air pollution and innovation

Felix Bracht and Dennis Verhoeven

2021: Labor unions and the electoral consequences of trade liberalization

Pedro Molina Ogeda, Emanuel Ornelas and Rodrigo Soares

2021: From immediate acceptance to deferred acceptance: effects on school admissions and achievement in England

Parag Pathak, Kevin Ren and Camille Terrier

2021: Population growth, immigration and labour market dynamics

Michael Elsby, Jennifer C. Smith and Jonathan Wadsworth

2021: Efficient industrial policy for innovation: standing on the shoulders of hidden giants

Charlotte Guillard, Ralf Martin, Pierre Mohnen, Catherine Thomas and Dennis Verhoeven

2021: Have productivity and pay decoupled in the UK?

Andreas Teichgraeber and John van Reenen

2021: AI-tocracy

Martin Beraja, Andrew Kao, David Yang and Noam Yuchtman

2021: Strategic confusopoly: evidence from the UK mobile market

Christos Genakos, Tobias Kretschmer and Ambre Nicolle

2021: "Better the devil you know": are stated preferences over health and happiness determined by how healthy and happy people are?

Matthew D. Adler, Paul Dolan, Amanda Henwood and Georgios Kavetsos

2021: Do carbon offsets offset carbon?

Raphael Calel, Jonathan Colmer, Antoine Dechezleprêtre and Matthieu Glachant

2021: Minimum wages and the China syndrome: causal evidence from US local labor markets

Luke Milsom and Isabelle Roland

2021: Intangibles and industry concentration: supersize me

Matěj Bajgar, Chiara Criscuolo and Jonathan Timmis

2021: Pandemic shock and economic divergence: political economy before and after the black death

Luis Bosshart and Jeremiah Dittmar

2021: Business groups as knowledge-based hierarchies of firms

Carlo Altomonte, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Armando Rungi and Tommaso Sonno

2021: Living wages and age discontinuities for low-wage workers

Nikhil Datta and Stephen Machin

2021: Trade, gravity and aggregation

Holger Breinlich, Dennis Novy and João Santos Silva

2021: The impact of healthcare IT on clinical quality, productivity and workers

Ari Bronsoler, Joseph Doyle and John van Reenen

2021: The backlash of globalization

Italo Colantone, Gianmarco Ottaviano and Piero Stanig

2021: Internet access and its implications for productivity, inequality and resilience

Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom and Steven Davis

2021: The diffusion of disruptive technologies

Nicholas Bloom, Tarek Hassan, Aakash Kalyani, Josh Lerner and Ahmed Tahoun

2021: The demand for executive skills

Joe Fuller, Stephen Hansen, Tejas Ramdas and Raffaella Sadun

2021: Communication within firms: evidence from CEO turnovers

Stephen Michael Impink, Andrea Prat and Raffaella Sadun

2021: Organizational capacity and profit shifting

Katarzyna Bilicka and Daniela Scur

2021: Income and the desire to migrate

Monica Langella and Alan Manning

2021: The donut effect of Covid-19 on cities

Nicholas Bloom and Arjun Ramani

2021: This time is not so different: income dynamics during the Covid-19 recession

Brian Bell, Nicholas Bloom and Jack Blundell

2021: Intra-bloc tariffs and preferential margins in trade agreements

Emanuel Ornelas and Patricia Tovar

2021: Why working from home will stick

Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom and Steven Davis

2021: What triggers stock market jumps?

Scott Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Steven Davis and Marco Sammon

2021: The impact of Covid-19 on US firms

Nicholas Bloom, Robert S. Fletcher and Ethan Yeh

2021: Opposing firm-level responses to the China shock: horizontal competition versus vertical relationships

Philippe Aghion, Antonin Bergeaud, Matthieu Lequien, Marc Melitz and Thomas Zuber

2021: Voting under threat: evidence from the 2020 French local elections

Elsa Leromain and Gonzague Vannoorenberghe

2021: Dynamic spatial general equilibrium

Benny Kleinman, Ernest Liu and Stephen Redding

2021: Technological change and domestic outsourcing

Antonin Bergeaud, Clément Malgouyres, Clement Mazet-Sonilhac and Sara Signorelli

2021: Firm export responses to tariff hikes

Facundo Albornoz, Irene Brambilla and Emanuel Ornelas

2021: Micro-geographic property price and rent indices

Gabriel Ahlfeldt, Stephan Heblich and Tobias Seidel

2021: Football, alcohol and domestic abuse

Ria Ivandic, Tom Kirchmaier and Neus Torres-Blas

2021: The measure of monopsony

Monica Langella and Alan Manning

2021: Import liberalization as export destruction? Evidence from the United States

Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson

2021: Marriage as insurance: job protection and job insecurity in France

Andrew Clark, Conchita D'Ambrosio and Anthony Lepinteur

2021: Trade and innovation

Marc Melitz and Stephen Redding

2021: Machine learning in international trade research - evaluating the impact of trade agreements

Holger Breinlich, Valentina Corradi, Nadia Rocha, Michele Ruta, João Santos Silva and Thomas Zylkin

2021: Service offshoring and export experience

Giuseppe Berlingieri, Luca Marcolin and Emanuel Ornelas

2021: Sequential exporting across countries and products

Facundo Albornoz, Hector Calvo Pardo, Gregory Corcos and Emanuel Ornelas

2021: Innovation, growth and the transition to net-zero emissions

Nicholas Stern and Anna Valero

2021: Happy to help: The welfare effects of a nationwide micro-volunteering programme

Paul Dolan, Christian Krekel, Helen Lee, Claire Marshall, Ganga Shreedhar and Allison Smith

2021: The trade impact of the Covid-19 pandemic

Xuepeng Liu, Emanuel Ornelas and Huimin Shi

2021: Friday morning fever. Evidence from a randomized experiment on sick leave monitoring in the public sector

Tito Boeri, Paolo Naticchioni, Vincenzo Scrutinio and Edoardo Di Porto

2021: Recidivism and neighborhood institutions: evidence from the rise of the evangelical church in Chile

Andres Barrios-Fernández and Jorge Garcia-Hombrados

2021: Suburbanization in the United States 1970-2010

Stephen Redding

2021: Education and management practices

Anna Valero

2021: Judge Dread: court severity, repossession risk and demand in mortgage and housing markets

Piero Montebruno, Olmo Silva and Nikodem Szumilo

2021: Formation of college plans: expected returns, preferences and adjustment process

Ghazala Azmat and Katja Kaufmann

2021: Education and economic growth

Anna Valero

2021: Innovation and human capital policy

John van Reenen

2021: The importance of capital in closing the entrepreneurial gender gap: a longitudinal study of lottery wins

Sarah Flèche, Anthony Lepinteur and Nattavudh Powdthavee

2021: Take the highway? Paved roads and well-being in Africa

Andrew Clark, Conchita D'Ambrosio and Elodie Djemai

2021: Opening up military innovation: causal effects of 'bottom-up' reforms to U.S. defense research

Sabrina T. Howell, Jason Rathje, John van Reenen and Jun Wong

2021: Remote talks: changes to economics seminars during Covid-19

Marcus Biermann

2021: Cities and the sea level

Yatang Lin, Thomas K.J. McDermott and Guy Michaels

2021: Does growing up in a recession increase compassion? The case of attitudes towards immigration

Maria Cotofan, Robert Dur and Stephan Meier

2021: Trends in intergenerational home ownership and wealth transmission

Jo Blanden, Andrew Eyles and Stephen Machin

2021: Data-intensive innovation and the State: evidence from AI firms in China

Martin Beraja, David Yang and Noam Yuchtman

2021: Globalization, trade imbalances and labor market adjustment

Rafael Dix-Carneiro, João Paulo Pessoa, Ricardo Reyes-Heroles and Sharon Traiberman

2021: Working life and human capital investment

Niklas Gohl, Peter Haan, Elisabeth Kurz and Felix Weinhardt

2021: Gravity with granularity

Holger Breinlich, Harald Fadinger, Volker Nocke and Nicolas Schutz

2021: Non-compete agreements, wages and efficiency: theory and evidence from Brazilian football

Bernardo Guimaraes, João Paulo Pessoa and Vladimir Ponczek

2021: Wage responses to gender pay gap reporting requirements

Jack Blundell

2021: Maternal depression and child human capital: a genetic instrumental-variable approach

Andrew Clark, Conchita D'Ambrosio, Simone Ghislandi, Anthony Lepinteur and Giorgia Menta

2021: Unequal learning and labour market losses in the crisis: consequences for social mobility

Lee Elliot Major, Andrew Eyles and Stephen Machin

2021: Commuting for crime

Tom Kirchmaier, Monica Langella and Alan Manning

2021: The true returns to the choice of occupation and education

Andrew Clark, Maria Cotofan and Richard Layard

2021: Consumption access and agglomeration: evidence from smartphone data

Yuhei Miyauchi, Kentaro Nakajima and Stephen Redding

2021: The impact of regulation on innovation

Philippe Aghion, Antonin Bergeaud and John van Reenen

2021: Why have house prices risen so much more than rents in superstar cities?

Christian Hilber and Andreas Mense

2021: The impact of non-tariff barriers on trade and welfare

Swati Dhingra, Rebecca Freeman and Hanwei Huang

2021: Worker and firm responses to trade shocks: The UK-China case

Josh De Lyon and João Paulo Pessoa

2021: Markups, intangible capital and heterogeneous financial frictions

Carlo Altomonte, Domenico Favoino, Monica Morlacco and Tommaso Sonno

2021: Trade protection along supply chains

Chad Bown, Paola Conconi, Aksel Erbahar and Lorenzo Trimarchi

2020: Quantifying the externalities of renewable energy plants using wellbeing data: The case of biogas

Christian Krekel, Julia Rechlitz, Johannes Rode and Alexander Zerrahn

2020: The UK's great demand and supply recession

Nick Jacob and Giordano Mion

2020: Quality of life in a dynamic spatial model

Gabriel Ahlfeldt, Fabian Bald, Duncan Roth and Tobias Seidel

2020: Are bigger banks better? Firm-level evidence from Germany

Kilian Huber

2020: All aboard: the effects of port development

César Ducruet, Réka Juhász, Dávid Krisztián Nagy and Claudia Steinwender

2020: The grandkids aren't alright: the intergenerational effects of prenatal pollution exposure

Jonathan Colmer and John Voorheis

2020: Heterogeneity in criminal behaviour after child birth: the role of ethnicity

Kabir Dasgupta, André Diegmann (geb. Nolte), Tom Kirchmaier and Alexander Plum

2020: No inventor is an island: social connectedness and the geography of knowledge flows in the US

Andreas Diemer and Tanner Regan

2020: Pandemics, global supply chains and local labor demand: evidence from 100 million posted jobs in China

Hanming Fang, Chunmian Ge, Hanwei Huang and Hongbin Li

2020: Changing patterns of domestic abuse during Covid-19 lockdown

Ria Ivandic, Tom Kirchmaier and Ben Linton

2020: Does pricing carbon mitigate climate change? Firm-level evidence from the European Union emissions trading scheme

Jonathan Colmer, Ralf Martin, Mirabelle Muûls and Ulrich Wagner

2020: School indiscipline and crime

Tony Beatton, Michael P Kidd and Matteo Sandi

2020: Place-based policies and spatial disparities across European cities

Maximilian von Ehrlich and Henry Overman

2020: Prime locations

Gabriel Ahlfeldt, Thilo Albers and Kristian Behrens

2020: The social determinants of choice quality: evidence from health insurance in the Netherlands

Benjamin Handel, Jonathan Kolstad, Thomas Minten and Johannes Spinnewijn

2020: Work, care and gender during the Covid-19 crisis

Claudia Hupkau and Barbara Petrongolo

2020: Selection into entrepreneurship and self-employment

Ross Levine and Yona Rubinstein

2020: Gender differences in tertiary education: what explains STEM participation?

Sandra McNally

2020: Partial lockdown and the spread of Covid-19: lessons from the Italian case

Edoardo Di Porto, Paolo Naticchioni and Vincenzo Scrutinio

2020: The crisis and job guarantees in urban India

Swati Dhingra and Stephen Machin

2020: Trade and geography

Stephen Redding

2020: Importing inequality: immigration and the top 1 percent

Arun Advani, Felix Koenig, Lorenzo Pessina and Andy Summers

2020: Globalization and pandemics

Pol Antràs, Stephen Redding and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg

2020: Growing like China: firm performance and global production line position

Davin Chor, Kalina Manova and Zhihong Yu

2020: The long shadow of slavery: the persistence of slave owners in Southern law-making

Luna Bellani, Anselm Hager and Stephan Maurer

2020: Parental well-being in times of Covid-19 in Germany

Mathias Huebener, Nico A. Siegel, Katharina Spiess, Gert Wagner and Sevrin Waights

2020: Subjective job insecurity and the rise of the precariat: evidence from the UK, Germany and the United States

Alan Manning and Graham Mazeine

2020: Urban density and Covid-19

Felipe Carozzi, Sandro Provenzano and Sefi Roth

2020: Center-based care and parenting activities

Jonas Jessen, Katharina Spiess and Sevrin Waights

2020: Generalized linear competition: from pass-through to policy

Christos Genakos, Felix Grey and Robert Ritz

2020: International friends and enemies

Benny Kleinman, Ernest Liu and Stephen Redding

2020: Globalisation and urban polarisation

Anthony Venables

2020: Better together? Heterogeneous effects of tracking on student achievement

Sönke Hendrik Matthewes

2020: Dream jobs

Giordano Mion, Luca David Opromolla and Gianmarco Ottaviano

2020: The economics of skyscrapers: a synthesis

Gabriel Ahlfeldt and Jason Barr

2020: Gravity in international finance: evidence from fees on equity transactions

Luke Milsom, Vladimír Pažitka, Isabelle Roland and Dariusz Wójcik

2020: Why are pollution damages lower in developed countries? Insights from high income, high-particulate matter Hong Kong

Jonathan Colmer, Dajun Lin, Siying Liu and Jay Shimshack

2020: Offices scarce but housing scarcer: estimating the premium for London office conversions

Paul Cheshire and Katerina Kaimakamis

2020: Immigrant inventors and diversity in the age of mass migration

Francesco Campo, Mariapia Mendola, Andrea Morrison and Gianmarco Ottaviano

2020: Bank default risk propagation along supply chains: evidence from the UK

Ali Kabiri, Vlad Malone, Isabelle Roland and Mariana Spatareanu

2020: Family background and the responses to higher SAT scores

Georg Graetz, Oskar Skans and Björn Öckert

2020: International financial flows and misallocation

Federico Cingano and Fadi Hassan

2020: Disrupted schooling: impacts on achievement from the Chilean school occupations

Piero Montebruno

2020: Automation, globalization and vanishing jobs: a labor market sorting view

Ester Faia, Sébastien Laffitte, Maximilian Mayer and Gianmarco Ottaviano

2020: Damned by dams? Infrastructure and conflict

Ulrich J. Eberle

2020: Covid-19, lockdowns and well-being: evidence from Google trends

Abel Brodeur, Andrew Clark, Sarah Flèche and Nattavudh Powdthavee

2020: All these worlds are yours, except India: the effectiveness of cash subsidies to export in Nepal

Fabrice Defever, Jose-Daniel Reyes, Alejandro Riaño and Gonzalo Varela

2020: O brother, where start thou? Sibling spillovers on college and major choice in four countries

Adam Altmejd, Andres Barrios-Fernández, Marin Drlje, Joshua Goodman, Michael Hurwitz, Dejan Kovac, Christine Mulhern, Christopher Neilson and Jonathan Smith

2020: Monopsony and the wage effects of migration

Michael Amior and Alan Manning

2020: Managing global production: theory and evidence from just-in-time supply chains

Frank Pisch

2020: A survey of gender gaps through the lens of the industry structure and local labor markets

Barbara Petrongolo and Maddalena Ronchi

2020: On the productivity advantage of cities

Nick Jacob and Giordano Mion

2020: A natural experiment on job insecurity and fertility in France

Andrew Clark and Anthony Lepinteur

2020: Does homeownership reduce crime? A radical housing reform in Britain

Richard Disney, John Gathergood, Stephen Machin and Matteo Sandi

2020: Environmental preferences and technological choices: is market competition clean or dirty?

Philippe Aghion, Roland Benabou, Ralf Martin and Alexandra Roulet

2020: Labor demand in the past, present and future

Georg Graetz

2020: Rising protectionism and global value chains: quantifying the general equilibrium effects

Rita Cappariello, Sebastian Franco-Bedoya, Vanessa Gunnella and Gianmarco Ottaviano

2020: On the economic impacts of mortgage credit expansion policies: evidence from help to buy

Felipe Carozzi, Christian Hilber and Xiaolun Yu

2020: Machiavelli versus concave utility functions: should bads be spread out or concentrated?

Paul Frijters, Christian Krekel and Aydogan Ulker

2020: Automating labor: evidence from firm-level patent data

Antoine Dechezleprêtre, David Hemous, Morten Olsen and Carlo Zanella

2020: The contribution of immigration to local labor market adjustment

Michael Amior

2020: The rise of agribusiness and the distributional consequences of policies on intermediated trade

Swati Dhingra and Silvana Tenreyro

2020: Comparing conventional and machine-learning approaches to risk assessment in domestic abuse cases

Jeffrey Grogger, Ria Ivandic and Tom Kirchmaier

2020: Who's paying for the U.S. tariffs? A longer-term perspective

Mary Amiti, Stephen Redding and David Weinstein

2020: Import competition, heterogeneous preferences of managers and productivity

Cheng Chen and Claudia Steinwender

2020: Intellectual property and the organization of the global value chain

Stefano Bolatto, Alireza Naghavi, Gianmarco Ottaviano and Katja Zajc Kejzar

2020: The aggregate consequences of default risk: evidence from firm-level data

Timothy Besley, Isabelle Roland and John van Reenen

2020: A local community course that raises mental wellbeing and pro-sociality

Jan-Emmanuel De Neve, Daisy Fancourt, Christian Krekel and Richard Layard

2020: Globalization and conflicts: the good, the bad and the ugly of corporations in Africa

Tommaso Sonno

2020: Immigration, local crowd-out and undercoverage bias

Michael Amior

2020: Trade, productivity and (mis)allocation

Antoine Berthou, Jong Hyun Chung, Kalina Manova and Charlotte Sandoz Dit Bragard