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Urbanisation and Structural Transformation

Guy Michaels, Ferdinand Rauch and Stephen Redding

CEP Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Performance, LSE

Abstract: This paper presents new evidence on urbanization using sub-county data for the United States from 1880-2000 and municipality data for Brazil from 1970-2000. We show that the two central stylized features of population growth for cities - Gibrat's Law and a stable population distribution - are strongly rejected when both rural and urban areas are considered. Population growth exhibits a U-shaped relationship with initial population density, and only becomes uncorrelated with initial population density at the high densities found in predominantly urban areas. We provide evidence that the explanation for these patterns lies in different employment growth dynamics in the agricultural and non-agricultural sectors and the process of structural transformation away from the agricultural sector.

Keywords: urbanisation; economic development; urban population; rural population (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: R11 R51 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-geo and nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Urbanization and Structural Transformation (2012) Downloads
Working Paper: Urbanization and Structural Transformation (2008) Downloads
Working Paper: Urbanisation and structural transformation (2008) Downloads
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