Measuring the (Income) Effect of Disability Insurance Generosity on Labour Market Participation

Olivier Marie and Judit Vall Castello

CEP Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Performance, LSE

Abstract: We analyze the employment effect of a law that provides for a 36 percent increase in the generosity of disability insurance (DI) for claimants who are, as a result of their lack of skills and of the labour market conditions they face, deemed unlikely to find a job. The selection process for treatment is therefore conditional on having a low probability of employment, making evaluation of its effect intrinsically difficult. We exploit the fact that the benefit increase is only available to individuals aged 55 or older, estimating its impact using a regression discontinuity approach. Our first results indicate a large drop in employment for disabled individuals who receive the increase in the benefit. Testing for the linearity of covariates around the eligibility age threshold reveals that the age at which individuals start claiming DI is not continuous: the benefit increase appears to accelerate the entry rate of individuals aged 55 or over. We obtain new estimates excluding this group of claimants, and find that the policy decreases the employment probability by 8 percent. We conclude that the observed DI generosity elasticity of 0.22 on labour market participation is mostly due to income effects since benefit receipt is not work contingent in the system studied.

Keywords: Disability insurance; labour market participation; income effect; regression discontinuity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J14 J26 J40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dem, nep-ias and nep-lab
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Related works:
Journal Article: Measuring the (income) effect of disability insurance generosity on labour market participation (2012)
Working Paper: Measuring the (income) effect of disability insurance generosity on labour market participation (2011)
Working Paper: Measuring the (income) effect of disability insurance generosity on labour market participation (2011)
Working Paper: Measuring the (income) effect of disability insurance generosity on labour market participation (2011)
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