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Testing Multi-Factor Asset Pricing Models in the Visegrad Countries

Magdalena Morgese Borys

CERGE-EI Working Papers from The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague

Abstract: There is no consensus in the literature as to which model should be used to estimate the stock returns and the cost of capital in the emerging markets. The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) that is most often used for this purpose in the developed markets has a poor empirical record and is likely not to hold in the less developed and less liquid emerging markets. Various factor models have been proposed to overcome the shortcomings of the CAPM. This paper examines both the CAPM and the macroeconomic factor models in terms of their ability to explain the average stock returns using the data from the Visegrad countries. We find, as expected, that the CAPM is not able to do this task. However, a four-factor model, including factors such as: excess market return, excess industrial production, excess inflation, and excess term structure, can in fact explain part of the variance in the Visegrad countries’ stock returns.

Keywords: CAPM; macroeconomic factor models; asset pricing; cost of capital; Poland. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G10 G11 G12 G15 G31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fmk
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Journal Article: Testing Multi-Factor Asset Pricing Models in the Visegrad Countries (2011) Downloads
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