Housing Markets in Central and Eastern Europe: Is There a Bubble in the Czech Republic?
Petr Zemcik ()
CERGE-EI Working Papers from The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague
Abstract:
Real estate prices more than doubled in many countries of Central and Eastern Europe from 2003 to 2008. In this paper, I provide the first assessment of whether housing prices in this region correspond to rents, i.e. to cash-flows related to an apartment purchase. State-of-theart panel data stationarity and Granger causality techniques are employed to test the implications of the standard present-value model using regional data from the Czech Republic. Apartment prices both in this country overall and in its capital are only slightly overvalued. In addition, changes in prices are helpful in predicting changes in rents and vice versa.
Keywords: Central and Eastern Europe; Czech Republic; panel data; unit root; bubble; house prices; rents. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C33 G12 R21 R31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-tra and nep-ure
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cer:papers:wp390
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