Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Food and Energy Consumer Price Inflation

Richhild Moessner

No 10164, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: This paper studies exchange rate pass-through to food and energy consumer price inflation and its dependence on the inflation environment using cross-country panel estimation of Phillips curves. It considers a large panel of OECD member and candidate economies with quarterly data from 1994 to 2021. We find that exchange rate pass-through is largest for energy CPI inflation and also significant for food CPI inflation. A 10% depreciation in the exchange rate leads to an increase in energy CPI inflation of around 2 percentage points (pp) at the quarterly horizon and of 4pp at the yearly horizon; it leads to an increase in food CPI inflation of around 0.3pp and 2pp at the quarterly and yearly horizon, respectively. We also find some evidence that exchange rate pass-through to food and energy CPI inflation depends on the inflation environment, with higher inflation leading to larger pass-through.

Keywords: inflation; food prices; energy prices; exchange rates (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 E52 E58 F31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene, nep-mon and nep-opm
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ces:ceswps:_10164

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