Trade and Regional Economic Development

Mathias Bühler

No 10270, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: A central argument for trade liberalization is that when the ‘gains from trade’ are shared, countries see large gains in economic development. In this paper, I empirically evaluate this argument and assess the impact of elite capture on regional development. Africa provides a unique study ground because the arbitrary placement of country borders during the colonial period partitioned hundreds of ethnic groups across borders. This partitioning is a source of variation in population heterogeneity and cross-country connectedness that is independent of economic considerations. Thus, African borders provide both a credible instrument for bilateral trade flows and enable the assignment of trade flows —and their impacts— to individuals. I find that while ethnic networks increase trade flows, increased trade activity decreases subnational economic development when measured by satellite data or individual wealth. I show that this counter-intuitive result comes from elite groups capturing the gains from trade, with detrimental impacts on trust and democratic progress in society.

Date: 2023
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-geo, nep-int, nep-net and nep-ure
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Related works:
Working Paper: Trade and Regional Economic Development (2023)
Working Paper: Trade and Regional Economic Development (2023)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ces:ceswps:_10270

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